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DEU Γερμανία - Μπουντεσλίγκα Ι · Αγώνας ·

Ντόρτμουντ vs Αμβούργο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου72%
Ισοπαλία16%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου12%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου72% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΝτόρτμουντΑμβούργο
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω55% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
72% / 16% / 12%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Αμβούργο win (11.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X88.4%1.13
Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%Goals 2.5Άνω55%1.82
Ναι 45% · Όχι 55%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ντόρτμουντ win72%1.391.3072%0.0 pp
Ισοπαλία16%6.255.7516.3%-0.3 pp
Αμβούργο win12%8.338.0011.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ντόρτμουντ2.19

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%

Αμβούργο0.69

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 24%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 45% · Όχι 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ντόρτμουντ

2.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι12

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αμβούργο

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
12%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.19
Expected goals
0.69
ΝτόρτμουντΑμβούργο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ντόρτμουντ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αμβούργο signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Ντόρτμουντ vs Αμβούργο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ντόρτμουντ νίκη 72%,Ισοπαλία 16%,Αμβούργο νίκη 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Άνω 2.5 55% · Current selection Άνω