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HUN 匈牙利甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

尼爾吉哈薩 vs 派克西

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–23.47 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝38%
25%
客勝37%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝38% selection probability
Projected score2–2尼爾吉哈薩派克西
Expected goals3.47初盤 match profile
Goals 2.567% for the selected side
雙方進球68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
38% / 25% / 37%比賽結果主勝38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)雙重機會1275.2%1.33
大 67% · 小 33%Goals 2.567%1.49
是 68% · 否 32%雙方進球68%1.47
3.47 total expected goals正確比分2–2
9.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gap尼爾吉哈薩 winDifference-1.1 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
尼爾吉哈薩 win38%2.632.3039.1%-1.1 pp
25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
派克西 win37%2.702.5036%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

尼爾吉哈薩1.54

主隊 share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals3.47初盤

Dedicated goals model: 67% · 33%

派克西1.93

客隊 share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 68% · 32%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

尼爾吉哈薩

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

派克西

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
贏 probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.54
Expected goals
1.93
尼爾吉哈薩派克西
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01尼爾吉哈薩 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02派克西 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

尼爾吉哈薩 vs 派克西 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

尼爾吉哈薩 38%, 25%,派克西 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · 大2.5 67% · Current selection