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Nyiregyhaza vs Paksi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.47 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw25%
Away win37%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score2–2NyiregyhazaPaksi
Expected goals3.47Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 25% / 37%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Double chance1275.2%1.33
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.47 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapNyiregyhaza winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nyiregyhaza win38%2.632.3039.1%-1.1 pp
Draw25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Paksi win37%2.702.5036%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nyiregyhaza1.54

Home share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals3.47Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Paksi1.93

Away share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Nyiregyhaza

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Paksi

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.54
Expected goals
1.93
NyiregyhazaPaksi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nyiregyhaza signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paksi signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Nyiregyhaza vs Paksi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nyiregyhaza win 38%,Draw 25%,Paksi win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over