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INT 芬兰甲级联赛 · Round 17 ·

查普斯 vs MP

Archived pre-match prediction

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.21 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝40%
28%
客勝32%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝40% selection probability
Projected score1–1查普斯MP
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
40% / 28% / 32%比賽結果主勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)雙重機會1272.1%1.39
大 38% · 小 62%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 45% · 否 55%雙方進球55%1.82
2.21 total expected goals正確比分1–1
10.7 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.5%Largest probability gap查普斯 winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
查普斯 win40%2.502.2540.6%-0.6 pp
28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp
MP win32%3.132.8831.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

查普斯1.07

主隊 share of expected goals 48.4%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 38% · 62%

MP1.14

客隊 share of expected goals 51.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

查普斯

1.80pts / match
5Wins3Drawn0Losses2積分9

Signal主隊 won 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

MP

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
贏 probability excluding draw
32%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.07
Expected goals
1.14
查普斯MP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01查普斯 signal主隊 won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MP signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

查普斯 vs MP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

查普斯 40%, 28%,MP 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · 大2.5 38% · Current selection