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INT Finland Ykkosliiga · Round 17 ·

JaPS vs MP

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.21 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr33%
Uafgjort31%
Udesejr36%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr36% selection probability
Projected score1–1JaPSMP
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
33% / 31% / 36%KampresultatUdesejr36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.1%)Dobbeltchance1268.9%1.45
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
JaPS win33%3.03
Uafgjort31%3.23
MP win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JaPS1.07

Hjemme share of expected goals 48.4%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

MP1.14

Ude share of expected goals 51.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

JaPS

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

MP

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vundet probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.07
Expected goals
1.14
JaPSMP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JaPS signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MP signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

JaPS vs MP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JaPS vundet 33%,Uafgjort 31%,MP vundet 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under