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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
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INT Finland - Ykkosliiga · Round 17 ·

JaPS vs MP

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.21 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst36%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst36% selection probability
Projected score1–1JaPSMP
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 31% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.1%)Dubbele Kans1268.9%1.45
Boven 38% · Onder 62%Goals 2.5Onder62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
JaPS win33%3.03
Gelijkspel31%3.23
MP win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JaPS1.07

Thuis share of expected goals 48.4%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 38% · Onder 62%

MP1.14

Uit share of expected goals 51.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

JaPS

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

MP

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.07
Expected goals
1.14
JaPSMP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JaPS signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MP signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

JaPS vs MP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JaPS gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 31%,MP gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Boven 2.5 38% · Current selection Onder