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ARG 阿根廷職業聯賽 · 比賽 ·

貝爾格拉諾 vs 門多薩獨立

Archived pre-match prediction

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝42%
31%
客勝28%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝42% selection probability
Projected score1–1貝爾格拉諾門多薩獨立
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.564% for the selected side
雙方進球58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
42% / 31% / 28%比賽結果主勝42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 門多薩獨立 win (27.7%)雙重機會1X72.3%1.38
大 36% · 小 64%Goals 2.564%1.56
是 42% · 否 58%雙方進球58%1.72
2.15 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
貝爾格拉諾 win42%2.38
31%3.23
門多薩獨立 win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

貝爾格拉諾1.28

主隊 share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 36% · 64%

門多薩獨立0.87

客隊 share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 42% · 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

貝爾格拉諾

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

門多薩獨立

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
贏 probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.28
Expected goals
0.87
貝爾格拉諾門多薩獨立
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01貝爾格拉諾 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02門多薩獨立 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

貝爾格拉諾 vs 門多薩獨立 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

貝爾格拉諾 42%, 31%,門多薩獨立 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · 大2.5 36% · Current selection