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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Kamp ·

Belgrano vs Independiente Rivadavia

Archived pre-match prediction

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr42%
Uafgjort31%
Udesejr28%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr42% selection probability
Projected score1–1BelgranoIndependiente Rivadavia
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
42% / 31% / 28%KampresultatHjemmesejr42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente Rivadavia win (27.7%)Dobbeltchance1X72.3%1.38
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Begge hold scorerNej58%1.72
2.15 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Belgrano win42%2.38
Uafgjort31%3.23
Independiente Rivadavia win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Belgrano1.28

Hjemme share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

Independiente Rivadavia0.87

Ude share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Belgrano

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Independiente Rivadavia

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vundet probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.28
Expected goals
0.87
BelgranoIndependiente Rivadavia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Belgrano signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente Rivadavia signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Belgrano vs Independiente Rivadavia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Belgrano vundet 42%,Uafgjort 31%,Independiente Rivadavia vundet 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under