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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Partida ·

Belgrano vs Independiente Rivadavia

Archived pre-match prediction

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa42%
Empate31%
Vitória visitante28%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa42% selection probability
Projected score1–1BelgranoIndependiente Rivadavia
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo64% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
42% / 31% / 28%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente Rivadavia win (27.7%)Dupla Chance1X72.3%1.38
Acima 36% · Abaixo 64%Goals 2.5Abaixo64%1.56
Sim 42% · Não 58%Ambas as equipes marcamNão58%1.72
2.15 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Belgrano win42%2.38
Empate31%3.23
Independiente Rivadavia win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Belgrano1.28

Mandante share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 36% · Abaixo 64%

Independiente Rivadavia0.87

Visitante share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 42% · Não 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Belgrano

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Independiente Rivadavia

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.28
Expected goals
0.87
BelgranoIndependiente Rivadavia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Belgrano signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente Rivadavia signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Belgrano vs Independiente Rivadavia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Belgrano ganhou 42%,Empate 31%,Independiente Rivadavia ganhou 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Acima 2.5 36% · Current selection Abaixo