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NLD 荷蘭甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

NEC尼美根 vs 特士達

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score3–13.82 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝55%
23%
客勝22%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝55% selection probability
Projected score3–1NEC尼美根特士達
Expected goals3.82初盤 match profile
Goals 2.573% for the selected side
雙方進球66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
55% / 23% / 22%比賽結果主勝55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 特士達 win (21.9%)雙重機會1X78.1%1.28
大 73% · 小 27%Goals 2.573%1.37
是 66% · 否 34%雙方進球66%1.52
3.82 total expected goals正確比分3–1
10.6 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
NEC尼美根 win55%1.82
23%4.35
特士達 win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NEC尼美根2.56

主隊 share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals3.82初盤

Dedicated goals model: 73% · 27%

特士達1.26

客隊 share of expected goals 33%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 66% · 34%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

NEC尼美根

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

特士達

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
贏 probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
1.26
NEC尼美根特士達
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NEC尼美根 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02特士達 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

NEC尼美根 vs 特士達 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NEC尼美根 55%, 23%,特士達 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · 大2.5 73% · Current selection