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NLD Netherlands Eredivisie · Maç ·

NEC vs Telstar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score3–13.82 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır55%
Beraberlik23%
Deplasman kazanır22%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır55% selection probability
Projected score3–1NECTelstar
Expected goals3.82Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst73% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
55% / 23% / 22%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Telstar win (21.9%)Çifte Şans1X78.1%1.28
Üst 73% · Alt 27%Goals 2.5Üst73%1.37
Evet 66% · Hayır 34%Karşılıklı gol varEvet66%1.52
3.82 total expected goalsDoğru skor3–1
10.6 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
NEC win55%1.82
Beraberlik23%4.35
Telstar win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NEC2.56

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals3.82Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 73% · Alt 27%

Telstar1.26

Deplasman share of expected goals 33%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitEvet 66% · Hayır 34%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

NEC

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Telstar

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
1.26
NECTelstar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NEC signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Telstar signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

NEC vs Telstar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NEC kazanç 55%,Beraberlik 23%,Telstar kazanç 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · 2.5 Üst 73% · Current selection Üst