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Ναϊμέγκεν vs Τέλσταρ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score3–13.82 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου55%
Ισοπαλία23%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου22%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου55% selection probability
Projected score3–1ΝαϊμέγκενΤέλσταρ
Expected goals3.82Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω73% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
55% / 23% / 22%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τέλσταρ win (21.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X78.1%1.28
Άνω 73% · Κάτω 27%Goals 2.5Άνω73%1.37
Ναι 66% · Όχι 34%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι66%1.52
3.82 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ3–1
10.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ναϊμέγκεν win55%1.82
Ισοπαλία23%4.35
Τέλσταρ win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ναϊμέγκεν2.56

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals3.82Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 73% · Κάτω 27%

Τέλσταρ1.26

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 33%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitΝαι 66% · Όχι 34%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ναϊμέγκεν

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Τέλσταρ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
1.26
ΝαϊμέγκενΤέλσταρ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ναϊμέγκεν signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Τέλσταρ signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Ναϊμέγκεν vs Τέλσταρ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ναϊμέγκεν νίκη 55%,Ισοπαλία 23%,Τέλσταρ νίκη 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · Άνω 2.5 73% · Current selection Άνω