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廣島三箭 vs 千葉市原

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝54%
26%
客勝20%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝54% selection probability
Projected score2–1廣島三箭千葉市原
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.552% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
54% / 26% / 20%比賽結果主勝54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 千葉市原 win (20.1%)雙重機會1X79.9%1.25
大 52% · 小 48%Goals 2.552%1.92
是 48% · 否 52%雙方進球52%1.92
2.75 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
廣島三箭 win54%1.85
26%3.85
千葉市原 win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

廣島三箭1.93

主隊 share of expected goals 70.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 52% · 48%

千葉市原0.82

客隊 share of expected goals 29.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

廣島三箭

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

千葉市原

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
贏 probability excluding draw
20%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.93
Expected goals
0.82
廣島三箭千葉市原
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01廣島三箭 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02千葉市原 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

廣島三箭 vs 千葉市原 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

廣島三箭 54%, 26%,千葉市原 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · 大2.5 52% · Current selection