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INT 芬兰甲级联赛 · Round 17 ·

查普斯 vs MP

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.21 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝33%
31%
客勝36%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝36% selection probability
Projected score1–1查普斯MP
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
33% / 31% / 36%比賽結果客勝36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.1%)雙勝彩1268.9%1.45
大 38% · 小 62%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 45% · 否 55%雙方進球55%1.82
2.21 total expected goals正確比分1–1
10.7 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
查普斯 win33%3.03
31%3.23
MP win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

查普斯1.07

主隊 share of expected goals 48.4%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 38% · 62%

MP1.14

客隊 share of expected goals 51.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

查普斯

1.80pts / match
5Wins3Drawn0Losses2積分9

Signal主隊 won 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

MP

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
贏 probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.07
Expected goals
1.14
查普斯MP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01查普斯 signal主隊 won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MP signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

查普斯 vs MP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

查普斯 33%, 31%,MP 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · 大2.5 38% · Current selection