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INT Finland Ykkosliiga · Round 17 ·

JaPS vs MP

Archived pre-match prediction

Heim form
Projected score1–12.21 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg40%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg32%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg40% selection probability
Projected score1–1JaPSMP
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
40% / 28% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Doppelte Chance1272.1%1.39
Über 38% · Unter 62%Goals 2.5Unter62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nein 55%Beide Teams treffenNein55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.7 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.5%Largest probability gapJaPS winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JaPS win40%2.502.2540.6%-0.6 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp
MP win32%3.132.8831.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JaPS1.07

Heim share of expected goals 48.4%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 38% · Unter 62%

MP1.14

Auswärts share of expected goals 51.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nein 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

JaPS

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

MP

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.07
Expected goals
1.14
JaPSMP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JaPS signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MP signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

JaPS vs MP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JaPS Gewinn 40%,Unentschieden 28%,MP Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Über 2.5 38% · Current selection Unter