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CHN 中國甲級聯賽 · Round 17 ·

梅州客家 vs 佛山南獅

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝49%
26%
客勝25%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝49% selection probability
Projected score2–1梅州客家佛山南獅
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.553% for the selected side
雙方進球57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
49% / 26% / 25%比賽結果主勝49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 佛山南獅 win (25.3%)雙重機會1X74.7%1.34
大 53% · 小 47%Goals 2.553%1.89
是 57% · 否 43%雙方進球57%1.75
2.80 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gap梅州客家 winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
梅州客家 win49%2.041.8049.6%-0.6 pp
26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
佛山南獅 win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

梅州客家1.54

主隊 share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 53% · 47%

佛山南獅1.26

客隊 share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

梅州客家

0.60pts / match
5Wins1Drawn0Losses4積分3

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

佛山南獅

0.20pts / match
5Wins0Drawn1Losses4積分1

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
贏 probability excluding draw
25%
3
Points from supplied form
1
1.54
Expected goals
1.26
梅州客家佛山南獅
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01梅州客家 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02佛山南獅 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

梅州客家 vs 佛山南獅 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

梅州客家 49%, 26%,佛山南獅 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · 大2.5 53% · Current selection