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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Мэйчжоу Хакка vs Фошань Наньши

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев49%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей25%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Мэйчжоу ХаккаФошань Наньши
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
49% / 26% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фошань Наньши win (25.3%)Двойной шанс1X74.7%1.34
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapМэйчжоу Хакка winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мэйчжоу Хакка win49%2.041.8049.6%-0.6 pp
Ничья26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Фошань Наньши win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мэйчжоу Хакка1.54

Хозяева share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

Фошань Наньши1.26

Гости share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Мэйчжоу Хакка

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Фошань Наньши

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
3
Points from supplied form
1
1.54
Expected goals
1.26
Мэйчжоу ХаккаФошань Наньши
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мэйчжоу Хакка signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фошань Наньши signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Мэйчжоу Хакка vs Фошань Наньши FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мэйчжоу Хакка выигрыш 49%,Ничья 26%,Фошань Наньши выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше