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ARG 阿根廷大都會區丙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

拉馬德裏 vs 西班牙體育會

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.79 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝38%
33%
客勝29%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝38% selection probability
Projected score1–1拉馬德裏西班牙體育會
Expected goals1.79Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.573% for the selected side
雙方進球65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
38% / 33% / 29%比賽結果主勝38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 西班牙體育會 win (28.7%)雙重機會1X71.3%1.40
大 27% · 小 73%Goals 2.573%1.37
是 35% · 否 65%雙方進球65%1.54
1.79 total expected goals正確比分1–1
7.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gap西班牙體育會 winDifference+1.0 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
拉馬德裏 win38%2.632.3038.9%-0.9 pp
33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp
西班牙體育會 win29%3.453.2028%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

拉馬德裏0.81

主隊 share of expected goals 45.3%

Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 27% · 73%

西班牙體育會0.98

客隊 share of expected goals 54.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

拉馬德裏

0.60pts / match
5Wins0Drawn3Losses2積分3

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

西班牙體育會

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
贏 probability excluding draw
29%
3
Points from supplied form
8
0.81
Expected goals
0.98
拉馬德裏西班牙體育會
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01拉馬德裏 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02西班牙體育會 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

拉馬德裏 vs 西班牙體育會 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

拉馬德裏 38%, 33%,西班牙體育會 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.79 · 大2.5 27% · Current selection