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SWE 瑞典甲級聯賽 南部 · 比賽 ·

阿里亞納FC馬爾默 vs 特利堡

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝34%
25%
客勝41%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝41% selection probability
Projected score1–2阿里亞納FC馬爾默特利堡
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.557% for the selected side
雙方進球60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
34% / 25% / 41%比賽結果客勝41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)雙重機會1275.1%1.33
大 57% · 小 43%Goals 2.557%1.75
是 60% · 否 40%雙方進球60%1.67
3.00 total expected goals正確比分1–2
9.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gap阿里亞納FC馬爾默 winDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
阿里亞納FC馬爾默 win34%2.942.6034.4%-0.4 pp
25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
特利堡 win41%2.442.2040.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

阿里亞納FC馬爾默1.37

主隊 share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 57% · 43%

特利堡1.63

客隊 share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 60% · 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

阿里亞納FC馬爾默

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

特利堡

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
贏 probability excluding draw
41%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.37
Expected goals
1.63
阿里亞納FC馬爾默特利堡
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01阿里亞納FC馬爾默 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02特利堡 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

阿里亞納FC馬爾默 vs 特利堡 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

阿里亞納FC馬爾默 34%, 25%,特利堡 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · 大2.5 57% · Current selection