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MLT Malta Premier League · Final ·

Valletta vs Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score4–2Tahmin 2–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır53%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır18%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Kazandı
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır53% selection probability
Projected score2–1VallettaSaint Patrick FC Zabbar
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt62% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
53% / 29% / 18%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Saint Patrick FC Zabbar win (18.2%)Çifte Şans1X81.8%1.22
Üst 38% · Alt 62%Goals 2.5Alt62%1.61
Evet 36% · Hayır 64%Karşılıklı gol varHayır64%1.56
2.20 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.8 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Valletta win53%1.89
Beraberlik29%3.45
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valletta1.61

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 73.2%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 38% · Alt 62%

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar0.59

Deplasman share of expected goals 26.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 36% · Hayır 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Valletta

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.61
Expected goals
0.59
VallettaSaint Patrick FC Zabbar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valletta signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Saint Patrick FC Zabbar signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Valletta vs Saint Patrick FC Zabbar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valletta kazanç 53%,Beraberlik 29%,Saint Patrick FC Zabbar kazanç 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · 2.5 Üst 38% · Current selection Alt