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MLT Malta - Premier League · Final ·

La Valletta vs Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score4–2Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa53%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite18%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa53% selection probability
Projected score2–1La VallettaSaint Patrick FC Zabbar
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
53% / 29% / 18%Esito partitaVittoria casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Saint Patrick FC Zabbar win (18.2%)Doppia Chance1X81.8%1.22
Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%Goals 2.5Sotto62%1.61
Sì 36% · No 64%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64%1.56
2.20 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
La Valletta win53%1.89
Pareggio29%3.45
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

La Valletta1.61

Casa share of expected goals 73.2%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar0.59

Trasferta share of expected goals 26.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

La Valletta

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vinta probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.61
Expected goals
0.59
La VallettaSaint Patrick FC Zabbar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01La Valletta signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Saint Patrick FC Zabbar signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

La Valletta vs Saint Patrick FC Zabbar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

La Valletta vinta 53%,Pareggio 29%,Saint Patrick FC Zabbar vinta 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Sopra 2.5 38% · Current selection Sotto