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INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Final ·

Umraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score1–1Tahmin 1–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır27%
Beraberlik30%
Deplasman kazanır44%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Kaybetti
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır44% selection probability
Projected score1–1UmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt57% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
27% / 30% / 44%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Umraniyespor win (26.8%)Çifte ŞansX273.2%1.37
Üst 43% · Alt 57%Goals 2.5Alt57%1.75
Evet 47% · Hayır 53%Karşılıklı gol varHayır53%1.89
2.40 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.3 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Umraniyespor win27%3.70
Beraberlik30%3.33
Esenler Erokspor win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umraniyespor0.94

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 43% · Alt 57%

Esenler Erokspor1.46

Deplasman share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 47% · Hayır 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Umraniyespor

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Esenler Erokspor

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puan3

SignalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
3
0.94
Expected goals
1.46
UmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umraniyespor signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Esenler Erokspor signalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Umraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umraniyespor kazanç 27%,Beraberlik 30%,Esenler Erokspor kazanç 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · 2.5 Üst 43% · Current selection Alt