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INT Turcia - 1 Lig · Final ·

Umraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–1Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde27%
Egal30%
Victorie oaspeți44%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Pierdut
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți44% selection probability
Projected score1–1UmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub57% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
27% / 30% / 44%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Umraniyespor win (26.8%)Șansă dublăX273.2%1.37
Peste 43% · Sub 57%Goals 2.5Sub57%1.75
Da 47% · Nu 53%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53%1.89
2.40 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Umraniyespor win27%3.70
Egal30%3.33
Esenler Erokspor win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umraniyespor0.94

Gazde share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 43% · Sub 57%

Esenler Erokspor1.46

Oaspeți share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 47% · Nu 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Umraniyespor

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Esenler Erokspor

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Câștig probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
3
0.94
Expected goals
1.46
UmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umraniyespor signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Esenler Erokspor signalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Umraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umraniyespor câștig 27%,Egal 30%,Esenler Erokspor câștig 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · Peste 2.5 43% · Current selection Sub