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INT Τουρκία - 1 Lig · Final ·

Ουμρανιγιεσπόρ vs Εσενλέρ Εροξπόρ

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score1–1Πρόβλεψη 1–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου27%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου44%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Αποτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου44% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΟυμρανιγιεσπόρΕσενλέρ Εροξπόρ
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω57% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
27% / 30% / 44%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ουμρανιγιεσπόρ win (26.8%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX273.2%1.37
Άνω 43% · Κάτω 57%Goals 2.5Κάτω57%1.75
Ναι 47% · Όχι 53%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53%1.89
2.40 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ουμρανιγιεσπόρ win27%3.70
Ισοπαλία30%3.33
Εσενλέρ Εροξπόρ win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ουμρανιγιεσπόρ0.94

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 43% · Κάτω 57%

Εσενλέρ Εροξπόρ1.46

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 47% · Όχι 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ουμρανιγιεσπόρ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Εσενλέρ Εροξπόρ

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
3
0.94
Expected goals
1.46
ΟυμρανιγιεσπόρΕσενλέρ Εροξπόρ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ουμρανιγιεσπόρ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Εσενλέρ Εροξπόρ signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ουμρανιγιεσπόρ vs Εσενλέρ Εροξπόρ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ουμρανιγιεσπόρ νίκη 27%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Εσενλέρ Εροξπόρ νίκη 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · Άνω 2.5 43% · Current selection Κάτω