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EUR Europa - Vänskapsmatcher · Match ·

Numancia vs Utebo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger47%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger26%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger47% selection probability
Projected score2–1NumanciaUtebo
Expected goals3.19Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
47% / 26% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Dubbelchans1273.7%1.36
Över 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Över61%1.64
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Båda lagen gör målJa64%1.56
3.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Numancia win47%2.131.9147.5%
Oavgjort26%3.853.4026.7%
Utebo win26%3.853.5025.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Numancia1.82

Hemma share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals3.19Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 61% · Under 39%

Utebo1.37

Borta share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Numancia

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Utebo

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.82
Expected goals
1.37
NumanciaUtebo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Numancia signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Utebo signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Numancia vs Utebo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Numancia vunnen 47%,Oavgjort 26%,Utebo vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Över 2.5 61% · Current selection Över