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EUR Freundschaftsspiele - Europa · Spiel ·

Numancia vs Utebo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg31%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score2–1NumanciaUtebo
Expected goals3.19Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 26% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Doppelte Chance1273.7%1.36
Über 61% · Unter 39%Goals 2.5Über61%1.64
Ja 64% · Nein 36%Beide Teams treffenJa64%1.56
3.19 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Numancia win42%2.382.1542.1%
Unentschieden26%3.853.4026.6%
Utebo win31%3.232.9031.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Numancia1.73

Heim share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals3.19Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 61% · Unter 39%

Utebo1.46

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nein 36%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Numancia

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Utebo

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.73
Expected goals
1.46
NumanciaUtebo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Numancia signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Utebo signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Numancia vs Utebo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Numancia Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 26%,Utebo Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Über 2.5 61% · Current selection Über