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EUR Europa - Vriendschappelijke wedstrijden · Wedstrijd ·

Numancia vs Utebo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst31%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score2–1NumanciaUtebo
Expected goals3.19Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 26% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Dubbele Kans1273.7%1.36
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.19 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Numancia win42%2.382.1542.1%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.4026.6%
Utebo win31%3.232.9031.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Numancia1.73

Thuis share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals3.19Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

Utebo1.46

Uit share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Numancia

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Utebo

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.73
Expected goals
1.46
NumanciaUtebo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Numancia signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Utebo signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Numancia vs Utebo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Numancia gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 26%,Utebo gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven