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ZAF Sydafrika - Premier · Match ·

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.58 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger54%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger19%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mamelodi SundownsAmazulu
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
54% / 27% / 19%MatchresultatHemmaseger54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Amazulu win (19%)Dubbelchans1X81%1.23
Över 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 44% · Nej 56%Båda lagen gör målNej56%1.79
2.58 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Mamelodi Sundowns win54%1.85
Oavgjort27%3.70
Amazulu win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mamelodi Sundowns1.85

Hemma share of expected goals 71.7%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 48% · Under 52%

Amazulu0.73

Borta share of expected goals 28.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nej 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Mamelodi Sundowns

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Amazulu

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
19%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.85
Expected goals
0.73
Mamelodi SundownsAmazulu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mamelodi Sundowns signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Amazulu signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mamelodi Sundowns vunnen 54%,Oavgjort 27%,Amazulu vunnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Över 2.5 48% · Current selection Under