MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
ZAF South Africa Premier · Fixture ·

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.58 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw27%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mamelodi SundownsAmazulu
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 27% / 19%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Amazulu win (19%)Double chance1X81%1.23
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.58 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns win54%1.85
Draw27%3.70
Amazulu win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mamelodi Sundowns1.85

Home share of expected goals 71.7%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Amazulu0.73

Away share of expected goals 28.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mamelodi Sundowns

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Amazulu

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.85
Expected goals
0.73
Mamelodi SundownsAmazulu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mamelodi Sundowns signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Amazulu signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mamelodi Sundowns win 54%,Draw 27%,Amazulu win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under