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ZAF Afrique du Sud - Premier · Match ·

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.58 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile67%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur11%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile67% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mamelodi SundownsAmazulu
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
67% / 21% / 11%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Amazulu win (11.4%)Double chance1X88.6%1.13
Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%Goals 2.5Moins de52%1.92
Oui 44% · Non 56%Les deux équipes marquentNon56%1.79
2.58 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMamelodi Sundowns winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mamelodi Sundowns win67%1.491.3367.4%-0.4 pp
Nul21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Amazulu win11%9.098.0011.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mamelodi Sundowns1.85

Domicile share of expected goals 71.7%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%

Amazulu0.73

Extérieur share of expected goals 28.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 44% · Non 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Mamelodi Sundowns

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Amazulu

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Gagné probability excluding draw
11%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.85
Expected goals
0.73
Mamelodi SundownsAmazulu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mamelodi Sundowns signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Amazulu signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mamelodi Sundowns victoire 67%,Nul 21%,Amazulu victoire 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Plus de 2.5 48% · Current selection Moins de