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GRC Grekland - Super League 1 · Match ·

Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score0–21.97 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger14%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger57%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger57% selection probability
Projected score0–2Asteras TripolisOlympiakos
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
14% / 29% / 57%MatchresultatBortaseger57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Asteras Tripolis win (14%)DubbelchansX286%1.16
Över 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Ja 26% · Nej 74%Båda lagen gör målNej74%1.35
1.97 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat0–2
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Asteras Tripolis win14%7.14
Oavgjort29%3.45
Olympiakos win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Asteras Tripolis0.39

Hemma share of expected goals 19.8%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 32% · Under 68%

Olympiakos1.58

Borta share of expected goals 80.2%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitJa 26% · Nej 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Asteras Tripolis

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Olympiakos

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
57%
8
Points from supplied form
6
0.39
Expected goals
1.58
Asteras TripolisOlympiakos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Asteras Tripolis signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olympiakos signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 0–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Asteras Tripolis vunnen 14%,Oavgjort 29%,Olympiakos vunnen 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Över 2.5 32% · Current selection Under