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GRC Greece Super League 1 · Fixture ·

Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score0–21.97 expected goals
Away form
Home win14%
Draw29%
Away win57%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win57% selection probability
Projected score0–2Asteras TripolisOlympiacos
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
14% / 29% / 57%Match resultAway win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Asteras Tripolis win (14%)Double chanceX286%1.16
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 26% · No 74%Both teams scoreNo74%1.35
1.97 total expected goalsCorrect score0–2
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Asteras Tripolis win14%7.14
Draw29%3.45
Olympiacos win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Asteras Tripolis0.39

Home share of expected goals 19.8%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

Olympiacos1.58

Away share of expected goals 80.2%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitYes 26% · No 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Asteras Tripolis

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Olympiacos

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Win probability excluding draw
57%
8
Points from supplied form
6
0.39
Expected goals
1.58
Asteras TripolisOlympiacos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Asteras Tripolis signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olympiacos signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 0–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Asteras Tripolis win 14%,Draw 29%,Olympiacos win 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under