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GRC Greece Super League 1 · Fixture ·

Aris Salonika vs OFI Crete

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw30%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Aris SalonikaOFI Crete
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 30% / 25%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OFI Crete win (25%)Double chance1X75%1.33
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.25 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Aris Salonika win45%2.22
Draw30%3.33
OFI Crete win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aris Salonika1.42

Home share of expected goals 63.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

OFI Crete0.83

Away share of expected goals 36.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Aris Salonika

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

OFI Crete

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
15
Points from supplied form
6
1.42
Expected goals
0.83
Aris SalonikaOFI Crete
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aris Salonika signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OFI Crete signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Aris Salonika vs OFI Crete FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aris Salonika win 45%,Draw 30%,OFI Crete win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under