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GRC Grækenland - Super League 1 · Kamp ·

Aris Thessaloniki vs OFI Crete

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr45%
Uafgjort30%
Udesejr25%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Aris ThessalonikiOFI Crete
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
45% / 30% / 25%KampresultatHjemmesejr45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OFI Crete win (25%)Dobbeltchance1X75%1.33
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 43% · Nej 57%Begge hold scorerNej57%1.75
2.25 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Aris Thessaloniki win45%2.22
Uafgjort30%3.33
OFI Crete win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aris Thessaloniki1.42

Hjemme share of expected goals 63.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

OFI Crete0.83

Ude share of expected goals 36.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nej 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Aris Thessaloniki

3.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Point15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

OFI Crete

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vundet probability excluding draw
25%
15
Points from supplied form
6
1.42
Expected goals
0.83
Aris ThessalonikiOFI Crete
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aris Thessaloniki signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OFI Crete signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Aris Thessaloniki vs OFI Crete FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aris Thessaloniki vundet 45%,Uafgjort 30%,OFI Crete vundet 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under