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GRC Grekland - Super League 1 · Match ·

AE Kifisias vs AEK Aten

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score0–22.44 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger13%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger61%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger61% selection probability
Projected score0–2AE KifisiasAEK Aten
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
13% / 25% / 61%MatchresultatBortaseger61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AE Kifisias win (13.5%)DubbelchansX286.5%1.16
Över 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 33% · Nej 67%Båda lagen gör målNej67%1.49
2.44 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat0–2
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
AE Kifisias win13%7.69
Oavgjort25%4.00
AEK Aten win61%1.64

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AE Kifisias0.48

Hemma share of expected goals 19.7%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 44% · Under 56%

AEK Aten1.96

Borta share of expected goals 80.3%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitJa 33% · Nej 67%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

AE Kifisias

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

AEK Aten

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
13%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
61%
3
Points from supplied form
10
0.48
Expected goals
1.96
AE KifisiasAEK Aten
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AE Kifisias signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AEK Aten signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

AE Kifisias vs AEK Aten FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 0–2 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AE Kifisias vunnen 13%,Oavgjort 25%,AEK Aten vunnen 61%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Över 2.5 44% · Current selection Under