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POL Polen - III Liga · Match ·

Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.45 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger32%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Wisla Plock IILechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Expected goals3.45Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över67% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 24% / 32%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Dubbelchans1276.1%1.31
Över 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Över67%1.49
Ja 68% · Nej 32%Båda lagen gör målJa68%1.47
3.45 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapWisla Plock II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wisla Plock II win44%2.272.0044.9%-0.9 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki win32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wisla Plock II1.75

Hemma share of expected goals 50.7%

Total expected goals3.45Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 67% · Under 33%

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki1.70

Borta share of expected goals 49.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 68% · Nej 32%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Wisla Plock II

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.75
Expected goals
1.70
Wisla Plock IILechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wisla Plock II signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wisla Plock II vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 24%,Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki vunnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Över 2.5 67% · Current selection Över