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POL Pologne - III Liga · Match ·

Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.46 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Wisla Plock IILechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Expected goals3.46Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 24% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Double chance1276.1%1.31
Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%Goals 2.5Plus de67%1.49
Oui 68% · Non 32%Les deux équipes marquentOui68%1.47
3.46 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapWisla Plock II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wisla Plock II win44%2.272.0044.9%-0.9 pp
Nul24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki win32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wisla Plock II1.75

Domicile share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals3.46Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki1.71

Extérieur share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 68% · Non 32%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Wisla Plock II

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.75
Expected goals
1.71
Wisla Plock IILechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wisla Plock II signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wisla Plock II victoire 44%,Nul 24%,Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Plus de 2.5 67% · Current selection Plus de