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INT Polen - Ekstraliga - Damer · Match ·

Pogon Szczecin (D) vs Gornik Leczna (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger31%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pogon Szczecin (D)Gornik Leczna (D)
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 25% / 31%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Dubbelchans1274.7%1.34
Över 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nej 56%Båda lagen gör målNej56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapPogon Szczecin (D) winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pogon Szczecin (D) win44%2.272.0543.8%+0.2 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Gornik Leczna (D) win31%3.232.8831.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pogon Szczecin (D)1.20

Hemma share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 37% · Under 63%

Gornik Leczna (D)0.99

Borta share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nej 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Pogon Szczecin (D)

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Gornik Leczna (D)

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.20
Expected goals
0.99
Pogon Szczecin (D)Gornik Leczna (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pogon Szczecin (D) signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gornik Leczna (D) signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Pogon Szczecin (D) vs Gornik Leczna (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pogon Szczecin (D) vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 25%,Gornik Leczna (D) vunnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Över 2.5 37% · Current selection Under