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SWE Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Match ·

Kungsängens IF vs IFK Lidingö

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger31%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Kungsängens IFIFK Lidingö
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 29% / 31%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Dubbelchans1271%1.41
Över 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Kungsängens IF win40%2.50
Oavgjort29%3.45
IFK Lidingö win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kungsängens IF1.44

Hemma share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 48% · Under 52%

IFK Lidingö1.18

Borta share of expected goals 45%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Kungsängens IF

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

IFK Lidingö

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.44
Expected goals
1.18
Kungsängens IFIFK Lidingö
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kungsängens IF signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Lidingö signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Kungsängens IF vs IFK Lidingö FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kungsängens IF vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 29%,IFK Lidingö vunnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Över 2.5 48% · Current selection Under