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SWE Sverige - Ettan Södra · Match ·

Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.37 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger25%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger46%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger46% selection probability
Projected score1–2Skövde AIKLunds BK
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
25% / 29% / 46%MatchresultatBortaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Skövde AIK win (24.7%)DubbelchansX275.3%1.33
Över 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Båda lagen gör målNej55%1.82
2.37 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Skövde AIK win25%4.00
Oavgjort29%3.45
Lunds BK win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Skövde AIK0.86

Hemma share of expected goals 36.3%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 42% · Under 58%

Lunds BK1.51

Borta share of expected goals 63.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Skövde AIK

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Lunds BK

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
46%
1
Points from supplied form
6
0.86
Expected goals
1.51
Skövde AIKLunds BK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Skövde AIK signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lunds BK signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Skövde AIK vunnen 25%,Oavgjort 29%,Lunds BK vunnen 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Över 2.5 42% · Current selection Under