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SWE Sverige - 1. div. Södra · Kamp ·

Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.37 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr25%
Uafgjort29%
Udesejr46%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr46% selection probability
Projected score1–2Skövde AIKLunds BK
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
25% / 29% / 46%KampresultatUdesejr46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Skövde AIK win (24.7%)DobbeltchanceX275.3%1.33
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.37 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Skövde AIK win25%4.00
Uafgjort29%3.45
Lunds BK win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Skövde AIK0.86

Hjemme share of expected goals 36.3%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Lunds BK1.51

Ude share of expected goals 63.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Skövde AIK

0.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Point1

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Lunds BK

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Point6

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vundet probability excluding draw
46%
1
Points from supplied form
6
0.86
Expected goals
1.51
Skövde AIKLunds BK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Skövde AIK signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lunds BK signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Skövde AIK vundet 25%,Uafgjort 29%,Lunds BK vundet 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under