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SWE Suède - 1.div Södra · Match ·

Skovde AIK vs Lunds BK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.37 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile25%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur46%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur46% selection probability
Projected score1–2Skovde AIKLunds BK
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
25% / 29% / 46%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Skovde AIK win (24.7%)Double chanceX275.3%1.33
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 45% · Non 55%Les deux équipes marquentNon55%1.82
2.37 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Skovde AIK win25%4.00
Nul29%3.45
Lunds BK win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Skovde AIK0.86

Domicile share of expected goals 36.3%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

Lunds BK1.51

Extérieur share of expected goals 63.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 45% · Non 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Skovde AIK

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Lunds BK

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gagné probability excluding draw
46%
1
Points from supplied form
6
0.86
Expected goals
1.51
Skovde AIKLunds BK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Skovde AIK signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lunds BK signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Skovde AIK vs Lunds BK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Skovde AIK victoire 25%,Nul 29%,Lunds BK victoire 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de