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ENG England - National League · Round 1 ·

Boston Utd vs Aldershot

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Boston UtdAldershot
Expected goals3.31Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över64% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 26% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dubbelchans1274.1%1.35
Över 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Över64%1.56
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Båda lagen gör målJa64%1.56
3.31 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Boston Utd win46%2.17
Oavgjort26%3.85
Aldershot win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boston Utd1.98

Hemma share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals3.31Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 64% · Under 36%

Aldershot1.33

Borta share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Boston Utd

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Aldershot

0.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poäng0

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
11
Points from supplied form
0
1.98
Expected goals
1.33
Boston UtdAldershot
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boston Utd signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aldershot signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Boston Utd vs Aldershot FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boston Utd vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 26%,Aldershot vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Över 2.5 64% · Current selection Över