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ENG Anglia - National League · Round 1 ·

Boston Utd vs Aldershot

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde46%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți28%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Boston UtdAldershot
Expected goals3.31Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste64% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
46% / 26% / 28%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Șansă dublă1274.1%1.35
Peste 64% · Sub 36%Goals 2.5Peste64%1.56
Da 64% · Nu 36%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64%1.56
3.31 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Boston Utd win46%2.17
Egal26%3.85
Aldershot win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boston Utd1.98

Gazde share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals3.31Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 64% · Sub 36%

Aldershot1.33

Oaspeți share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 64% · Nu 36%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Boston Utd

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Aldershot

0.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puncte0

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Câștig probability excluding draw
28%
11
Points from supplied form
0
1.98
Expected goals
1.33
Boston UtdAldershot
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boston Utd signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aldershot signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Boston Utd vs Aldershot FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boston Utd câștig 46%,Egal 26%,Aldershot câștig 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Peste 2.5 64% · Current selection Peste