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ENG England National League · Round 1 ·

Boston Utd vs Aldershot

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier46%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier28%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Boston UtdAldershot
Expected goals3.31Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
46% / 26% / 28%KampresultatHjemmeseier46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dobbel sjanse1274.1%1.35
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Ja 64% · Nei 36%Begge lag scorerJa64%1.56
3.31 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Boston Utd win46%2.17
Uavgjort26%3.85
Aldershot win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boston Utd1.98

Hjemme share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals3.31Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Aldershot1.33

Borte share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nei 36%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Boston Utd

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Aldershot

0.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poeng0

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
28%
11
Points from supplied form
0
1.98
Expected goals
1.33
Boston UtdAldershot
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boston Utd signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aldershot signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Boston Utd vs Aldershot FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boston Utd vunnet 46%,Uavgjort 26%,Aldershot vunnet 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over