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BRA Brasilien - Paulista Cup · Match ·

Sao Jose SP vs Santo Andre

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger28%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sao Jose SPSanto Andre
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 28% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santo Andre win (27.6%)Dubbelchans1X72.4%1.38
Över 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Båda lagen gör målNej55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Sao Jose SP win44%2.27
Oavgjort28%3.57
Santo Andre win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sao Jose SP1.31

Hemma share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 40% · Under 60%

Santo Andre0.97

Borta share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sao Jose SP

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Santo Andre

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.31
Expected goals
0.97
Sao Jose SPSanto Andre
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sao Jose SP signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santo Andre signalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sao Jose SP vs Santo Andre FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sao Jose SP vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 28%,Santo Andre vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Över 2.5 40% · Current selection Under