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BRA Brasilien - Paulista Cup · Spiel ·

Sao Jose SP vs Santo Andre

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg28%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sao Jose SPSanto Andre
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 28% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santo Andre win (27.6%)Doppelte Chance1X72.4%1.38
Über 40% · Unter 60%Goals 2.5Unter60%1.67
Ja 45% · Nein 55%Beide Teams treffenNein55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Sao Jose SP win44%2.27
Unentschieden28%3.57
Santo Andre win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sao Jose SP1.31

Heim share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 40% · Unter 60%

Santo Andre0.97

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nein 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sao Jose SP

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Santo Andre

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.31
Expected goals
0.97
Sao Jose SPSanto Andre
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sao Jose SP signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santo Andre signalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sao Jose SP vs Santo Andre FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sao Jose SP Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 28%,Santo Andre Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Über 2.5 40% · Current selection Unter