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ENG England - League 1 · Match ·

Plymouth vs Stockport

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.33 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger32%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score2–1PlymouthStockport
Expected goals3.33Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 27% / 32%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Dubbelchans1273.3%1.36
Över 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Över65%1.54
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.33 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapPlymouth winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Plymouth win42%2.382.2540.9%+1.1 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp
Stockport win32%3.132.8832%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Plymouth1.92

Hemma share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals3.33Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 65% · Under 35%

Stockport1.41

Borta share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Plymouth

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Stockport

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.92
Expected goals
1.41
PlymouthStockport
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Plymouth signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stockport signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Plymouth vs Stockport FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Plymouth vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 27%,Stockport vunnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Över 2.5 65% · Current selection Över