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ENG Angleterre - League 1 · Match ·

Plymouth vs Stockport

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.33 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile42%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile42% selection probability
Projected score2–1PlymouthStockport
Expected goals3.33Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 27% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Double chance1273.3%1.36
Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%Goals 2.5Plus de65%1.54
Oui 65% · Non 35%Les deux équipes marquentOui65%1.54
3.33 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapPlymouth winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Plymouth win42%2.382.2540.9%+1.1 pp
Nul27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp
Stockport win32%3.132.8832%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Plymouth1.92

Domicile share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals3.33Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%

Stockport1.41

Extérieur share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 65% · Non 35%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Plymouth

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Stockport

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.92
Expected goals
1.41
PlymouthStockport
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Plymouth signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stockport signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Plymouth vs Stockport FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Plymouth victoire 42%,Nul 27%,Stockport victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Plus de 2.5 65% · Current selection Plus de