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ENG Angleterre - League 1 · Match ·

Oxford Utd vs Milton Keynes Dons

Archived pre-match prediction

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Oxford UtdMilton Keynes Dons
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 26% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Double chance1274.1%1.35
Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%Goals 2.5Moins de52%1.92
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.61 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Oxford Utd win44%2.27
Nul26%3.85
Milton Keynes Dons win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oxford Utd1.46

Domicile share of expected goals 55.9%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%

Milton Keynes Dons1.15

Extérieur share of expected goals 44.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Oxford Utd

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Milton Keynes Dons

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.46
Expected goals
1.15
Oxford UtdMilton Keynes Dons
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oxford Utd signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Milton Keynes Dons signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Oxford Utd vs Milton Keynes Dons FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oxford Utd victoire 44%,Nul 26%,Milton Keynes Dons victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Plus de 2.5 48% · Current selection Moins de